September 10, 2024
As we move into the latter half of 2024, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve and its anticipated interest rate cuts. After a prolonged period of rising rates, experts predict that the Fed will begin reducing rates as early as September 2024, with more cuts likely extending into 2025. For consumers and investors, this change will impact financial products like certificates of deposit (CDs) and annuities, which have benefited from higher rates in recent years. Here's what to expect from these rate cuts and how banks and life insurance companies are likely to respond. The Connection Between Fed Rate Cuts and CDs CD rates tend to move in tandem with the federal funds rate. When the Fed raises rates, banks usually follow suit, offering higher yields on CDs to attract depositors. Conversely, when the Fed cuts rates, CD yields tend to decline. In recent years, CD rates have climbed steadily, providing investors with appealing short-term and low-risk returns. However, as we approach the end of 2024, CD rates have flattened out, and many financial experts anticipate a downward trend by year's end. Currently, the national average 12-month CD earns 1.85% (as of August 2024, according to FDIC data), which is higher than in years past, but these yields may not last. With the Fed poised to cut rates in response to cooling inflation, consumers should brace for a decline in CD returns. Banks are likely to offer lower interest rates, making it more challenging to find attractive CD options. How Rate Cuts Will Affect Annuities Annuities, especially fixed annuities, are another financial product that will feel the impact of interest rate cuts. Like CDs, annuity rates are influenced by broader interest rate trends. When rates are high, life insurance companies can offer higher payouts on annuities. As the Fed begins to cut rates, we can expect life insurance companies to adjust by offering lower yields on new annuities. For individuals considering purchasing an annuity, locking in rates sooner rather than later may be a wise strategy to avoid the anticipated decline. However, if you're already locked into a fixed annuity, you can rest assured that your current rates are protected from future cuts. Economic Impacts and Stock Market Trends While CD and annuity rates will likely decline, the broader economy may see mixed effects. Solid consumer spending and strong corporate earnings continue to bolster stock prices, even as higher interest rates persist. With expectations that interest rates may have peaked, we’re also seeing shifts in stock market leadership. Large-cap stocks, which have led the charge in recent years, may start to lose ground as markets rotate towards other sectors. In this environment, it’s crucial for investors to evaluate their portfolios and consider how a shifting interest rate landscape may affect their broader investment strategy. Schedule a Consultation with Halftime Wealth Management Navigating the changing interest rate environment requires careful planning and a proactive approach. At Halftime Wealth Management, we’re here to help you make informed decisions about CDs, annuities, and your overall investment strategy. Contact us today to schedule a consultation and ensure your financial plan is aligned with these upcoming changes. By understanding how these expected interest rate cuts will impact the financial landscape, you can position yourself to protect your wealth and capitalize on new opportunities. Let Halftime Wealth Management guide you through these shifts.